Detection

SAI applies cutting edge technologies to challenging research problems in the field of public policy. We specialize in the study of behavior that is typically unobservable: criminal activity, illicit drug use, drug trafficking, money laundering and related phenomena. Advanced methods in mathematical modeling, statistical estimation, and computer simulation are brought to bear on problems often thought to be unsolvable by more conventional means.

Estimating the Size of An Illicit Drug Using Population

Estimating Outbound Drug-Related Bulk Cash

Doctor Shopping Behavior and the Diversion of Opioid Analgesics: 2008-2012

SAI partnered with IMS Health and Computer Evidence Specialists to pursue a program of research on prescription opioid diversion. This project was sponsored by the Executive Office of the President, Office of National Drug Control Policy, and allowed estimates to be made for both the number of prescriptions and the number of morphine-equivalent milligrams diverted, by year, over the period 2008-2012, for each of twenty-one opioid molecules. These estimates are provided separately for states and zip-three areas. The evidence suggests a sustained and geographically widespread reduction in prescription opioid diversion when diversion is defined in terms of “doctor shopping” behavior.

Click to read Simeone R, “Doctor Shopping Behavior and the Diversion of Opioid Analgesics: 2008-2012”, Executive Office of the President, Office of National Drug Control Policy, Washington DC, 2014.

Click to read Simeone R, “Doctor Shopping Behavior and the Diversion of Prescription Opioids”, Substance Abuse: Research and Treatment, 2017, 11: 1-10.

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